Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.059496 0.067396 0.075469 0.084303 0.093669 0.103277 0.113850
2025-09-14 0.047653 0.059318 0.071802 0.086022 0.101643 0.118171 0.136870
2025-09-21 0.041175 0.055367 0.071121 0.089603 0.110419 0.132901 0.158793
2025-09-28 0.035093 0.050833 0.068914 0.090687 0.115732 0.143243 0.175377
2025-10-05 0.033663 0.051392 0.072239 0.097781 0.127558 0.160612 0.199553
2025-10-12 0.028513 0.046828 0.069059 0.096913 0.129942 0.167081 0.211294
2025-10-19 0.025378 0.044442 0.068220 0.098563 0.135030 0.176452 0.226157
2025-10-26 0.022161 0.041605 0.066559 0.099001 0.138514 0.183834 0.238630
2025-11-02 0.019789 0.039663 0.065843 0.100440 0.143061 0.192348 0.252318
2025-11-09 0.017166 0.037091 0.064112 0.100456 0.145767 0.198612 0.263323
2025-11-16 0.013858 0.033130 0.060272 0.097584 0.144781 0.200379 0.268975
2025-11-23 0.011141 0.029720 0.056933 0.095156 0.144180 0.202475 0.274901
2025-11-30 0.009576 0.028084 0.056090 0.096104 0.147976 0.210099 0.287683
2025-12-07 0.008402 0.026980 0.055949 0.097968 0.152945 0.219191 0.302287
2025-12-14 0.007850 0.026923 0.057297 0.101812 0.160415 0.231316 0.320511
2025-12-21 0.006731 0.025631 0.056716 0.102974 0.164425 0.239206 0.333671
2025-12-28 0.007144 0.027407 0.060809 0.110565 0.176704 0.257221 0.358961
2026-01-04 0.005729 0.025253 0.058776 0.109638 0.177966 0.261712 0.368035
2026-01-11 0.005002 0.024417 0.058716 0.111400 0.182673 0.270411 0.382145
2026-01-18 0.004135 0.023084 0.057778 0.111869 0.185654 0.276952 0.393636
2026-01-25 0.003539 0.022273 0.057622 0.113406 0.190006 0.285174 0.407147
2026-02-01 0.002805 0.020901 0.056449 0.113423 0.192310 0.290818 0.417510
2026-02-08 0.001833 0.018438 0.053243 0.110355 0.190415 0.291131 0.421317